Publish Time:2020-01-23 10:15:21Source:ttgasia.com
【Introduction】:Asia-Pacific remains solidly on the path to welcome close to one billion international visitor arrivals (IVAs) over the next five years. This was one of the key predictions from the Executive Summary of the Asia Pacific Visitor Forecasts 2020-2024, released yesterday by the Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA).
Asia-Pacific remains solidly on the path to welcome close to one billion international visitor arrivals (IVAs) over the next five years. This was one of the key predictions from the Executive Summary of the Asia Pacific Visitor Forecasts 2020-2024, released yesterday by the Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA). Covering the years 2019 to 2024 and 39 destinations within the region, these forecasts anticipate a volume of over 971 million international visitor arrivals into Asia-Pacific, by 2024.
The strong increase in IVAs has been driven by the average annual growth rate (AAGR) of 5.3% between 2014 and 2019, and that momentum is expected to increase even further over the next five years, to average 6.3% per annum between 2019 and 2024.
This will result in an acceleration of more than 256 million additional IVAs into the region between 2019 and 2024, a significant increase over the additional volume of 162 million added between 2014 and 2019.
The distribution of these IVAs in Asia-Pacific is expected to change only marginally from 2019, with the Asia and Pacific regions expected to show some relative, as well as absolute increases in arrival numbers.
Asia is forecast to remain as the dominant destination region and is likely to improve its relative share to over 77% by 2024. The Americas will come in second, although its share is expected to reduce slightly over the period between 2019 and 2024.
As a generator of IVAs into and across Asia-Pacific however, Asia is predicted to continue growing in relative share, accounting for almost 68% of all IVAs into the region in 2024. This is likely to be at the expense of both the Americas and Europe, both of which are predicted to wane, at least in terms of their respective shares as source regions for Asia-Pacific, between 2014 and 2024.
Eleven Asia-Pacific destinations are predicted to each receive more than 10 million additional IVAs between 2019 and 2024, with China leading the way, expecting to add around 38.2 million more arrivals to its inbound count and raising the aggregate volume to almost 208 million in 2024.
Japan is ranked next, followed by Macau, China and then Mexico, with all of these destinations expected to receive more than 20 million additional foreign arrivals each, over the forecast period to 2024.
The top group of 11 destinations is likely to account for 77% of the IVA volume into Asia-Pacific in 2024 and more than three-quarters of the additional arrivals over that same period.
In addition, it is predicted that nine out of 10 destinations will have AAGRs between 2019 and 2024 in excess of 10%, ranging from 10.2% for the Maldives to 21% for Cambodia. The volume bases for each of these destinations vary widely, however these very strong average rates of growth are certainly worth closely watching over the forecast period.
The top 10 strongest source markets into Asia-Pacific between 2019 and 2024 are forecast to include China, the Republic of Korea and Hong Kong SAR in the top three positions, generating a collective volume of more than 369 million IVAs over that period. These three source markets alone are also predicted to generate an additional volume of more than 106 million IVAs into Asia-Pacific over the same period.
Much of that volume is, of course, generated by internal Greater China flows, especially from China into Macau, China and Hong Kong SAR and to a lesser degree vice-versa as can be seen from the top source-destination pairs.
Adjusting for the Greater China source-destination pairs, the importance of China for a number of other Asia Pacific destinations becomes obvious, with China appearing five out of the possible ten times, as a major source market.
The relative strength of the close intra-regional flows also becomes evident in the top ten cluster of source-destination pairs.
PATA CEO’s Mario Hardy commented on these forecasts: “For many destinations, there is now an immediate and necessary shift from generating arrivals to properly managing those visitors. It is no longer enough to think and talk about this, the time to put into action such management practices that ensure that visitors into and across the Asia Pacific region receive a superlative and memorable experience is now.”
“The tourism juggernaut is a reality, and this means that, as a socio-economic sector, travel and tourism needs to ensure that it has the necessary mindset and infrastructure – both hard and soft – to enable the growth of this magnitude to be properly managed. It is incumbent upon us all to deliver both memorable experiences and positive outcomes for visitors, residents and the environment in equal measure.”
OAG Punctuality: Garuda Indonesia ranks...
Sweden plans new overnight trains that...
The Lunar New Year Brings New Food and...
"Icy hotpot" heats up winter tourism in...
Multicultural festival in New Zealand's...
Paris’s First Digital Art Museum Will...
Dubai announces record tourism arrivals...
Li Baochun: the area along the Belt and...
Sharing and building: WTCF and WTTC...
WTCF Holds a Forum of “Booming...
WTCF delegates attended the 2019 World...
China-U.S. forum calls for closer...
Providing a platform for communication:...
Head of Visit Finland Paavo Virkkunen:...
Florence| Victoria| Torino| Sevilla| Chinese Friendly International| Innova TaxFree Group| World Travel & Tourism Council| World Tourism Organization| Pacific Asia Travel Association| Beijing Tourism Development Commission| UN| WINTAC Business Development GmbH| WEN WEI PO| Via Hansa| TUI AG| The Beijing News| Taikang Life Insurance Co.| Skyscanner| Sina.com| Shanghai Spring International Travel Service| MasterCard| Kuoni| Kempinski Hotels| JTB| Okura Nikko Hotel Management Co., Ltd.| ICBC| Hong Kong Airlines| HanaTour| Four Seasons Hotels and Resorts| DFS| Ctrip.com| Costa Crociere S.p.A.| Club Med| Chinese National Geography| China UnionPay| China Travel Service| China Southern Airlines| China News Service| China International Travel Services| China Daily| CYTS| CCTV| China Association of Private Equity| Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport| Carnival Corporation & Plc| Capital Airports Holding Company| CAISSA| BTG International Travel & Tours| Beijing UTour| Beijing Tourism Group| Beijing Gongmei Group| Beijing Capital International Airport| American Tours International| American Express| America Asia Travel Center Inc.| Air China| Abercrombie & Kent| Zurich| Zhangjiajie| Yangzhou| Xiamen| Xi’an| Wuhan| Wellington| Washington| Wales| Vienna| Veliko Tarnovo| Vancouver| Valletta| Toronto| Tianjin| Thessaloniki| Tel Aviv-Yafo| Taiyuan| Sofia| Athens| Shanghai| Seoul| Sapporo| Sanya| San Francisco| Rome| Riga| Rabat| Qingdao| Prague| Pomorie| Plovdiv| Penang| Paris-Île de France| Ottawa| Nicosia| Nice| Nanjing| Mudanjiang| Moscow| Monterrey| Minsk| Milan| Marigot| Macao| Luoyang| Los Angeles| London| Lisbon| Kunming| Kathmandu| Jiaozuo| Jakarta| Houston| Hong Kong| Helsinki| Harbin| Hangzhou| Hamburg| Gwangju| Guangzhou| Geneve| Fez| Edinburgh| Dublin| Dubai| Dalian| Copenhagen| Colombo| Chongqing| Chengdu| Casablanca| Cairo| Busan| Buenos Aires| Budapest| Brussels| Boston| Berlin| Beijing| Barcelona| Bangkok| Bandung| Astana| Amsterdam| Altay| Almaty
E-Mail Login|Contact Us|Careers|Legal disclaimer
世界旅游城市联合会版权所有 备案号:京ICP备19050424号-1
Our legal counselors: lawyer Song Yunfeng & lawyer He Wen, both from Dacheng Law Offices